Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004316 0.004543 0.004777 0.005035 0.005312 0.005601 0.005926
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003873 0.004207 0.004564 0.004976 0.005440 0.005948 0.006550
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003596 0.003987 0.004418 0.004930 0.005527 0.006204 0.007036
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003371 0.003798 0.004279 0.004865 0.005565 0.006382 0.007419
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003264 0.003731 0.004268 0.004937 0.005756 0.006737 0.008021
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003137 0.003630 0.004206 0.004937 0.005851 0.006974 0.008480
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003008 0.003518 0.004122 0.004902 0.005895 0.007140 0.008853
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002869 0.003385 0.004005 0.004816 0.005867 0.007207 0.009091
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002752 0.003274 0.003908 0.004749 0.005855 0.007291 0.009350
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002677 0.003212 0.003869 0.004752 0.005932 0.007492 0.009777
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002536 0.003060 0.003709 0.004590 0.005781 0.007374 0.009746
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002478 0.003012 0.003681 0.004600 0.005859 0.007572 0.010174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002464 0.003021 0.003727 0.004710 0.006080 0.007982 0.010942
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002384 0.002941 0.003654 0.004656 0.006071 0.008064 0.011223
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002315 0.002872 0.003592 0.004615 0.006076 0.008164 0.011535
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002242 0.002797 0.003519 0.004555 0.006050 0.008217 0.011771
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.002789 0.003537 0.004621 0.006209 0.008550 0.012476
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002177 0.002750 0.003509 0.004621 0.006269 0.008735 0.012951
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002124 0.002696 0.003460 0.004589 0.006280 0.008842 0.013298
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.002623 0.003382 0.004510 0.006216 0.008830 0.013438
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002001 0.002561 0.003316 0.004449 0.006176 0.008851 0.013636
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001968 0.002530 0.003295 0.004452 0.006234 0.009032 0.014128
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001887 0.002432 0.003175 0.004304 0.006052 0.008812 0.013882